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Thursday, January 3, 2013

NFL 2012 Wildcard Power Rankings and Predictions

Sorry for the late and abridged post... been really busy this week, so I'll only rank the 12 playoff teams at this point.

1. Denver Broncos
2. New England Patriots
3. Atlanta Falcons
4. San Francisco 49ers
5. Houston Texans
6. Green Bay Packers
7. Seattle Seahawks
8. Baltimore Ravens
9. Washington Redskins
10. Minnesota Vikings
11. Indianapolis Colts
12. Cincinnati Bengals

Predictions for Next Week

TKN's last week accuracy: 11-5 (68.75%)
Billy's last week accuracy: 11-5 (68.75%)
AFS's* last week accuracy: 10-6 (62.50%)

TKN's Overall 2012 accuracy: 166-90 (64.84%)
Billy's Overall 2012 accuracy: 156-100 (60.94%)
AFS's* Overall 2012 accuracy: 161-95 (62.89%)
*American Football Simulator averages of 2,000 simulations.

After Week 16, I'm still leading by 5 games over the AFS. Billy is 5 games behind the AFS. There's still the playoffs however... could the playoffs mess things up badly?

Cincinnati Bengals (10-6) @ Houston Texans (12-4)
TheKillerNacho: The Texans' loss to the Colts last week was the difference between a first round bye & homefield advantage and having to play a wildcard game. Now, they must play a rematch from last year's Wildcard round against a hot Bengals team. I'm still going with the Texans but... they've been downright disappointing recently.
Cincinnati 17, Houston 24

Billy:
Cincinnati 21, Houston 34

American  Football Simulator:
Cincinnati 21, Houston 27

Indianapolis Colts (11-5) @ Baltimore Ravens (10-6)
TheKillerNacho: I still think the Colts' record is heavily inflated at 11-5, and they are playing their first playoff game against a defense that should be better now that Ray Lewis is back. It will be a tough matchup to win for the rookie Andrew Luck, making his first playoff start. While the trend may say take the Colts over the Ravens, I'm going with the Ravens in this one...
Indianapolis 24, Baltimore 26

Billy:
Indianapolis 19, Baltimore 23

American  Football Simulator:
Indianapolis 19, Baltimore 27

Minnesota Vikings (10-6) @ Green Bay Packers (11-5)
TheKillerNacho: I said it last week - In order for the Vikings to advance, they must defeat the Packers twice in a row. This time the game is at Lambeau. I still doubt the Vikings can beat the Pack twice in a row. Call me a hater, but I'll pick the home team.
Minnesota 23, Green Bay 27

Billy:
Minnesota 30, Green Bay 43

American Football Simulator:
Minnesota 21, Green Bay 26

Seattle Seahawks (11-5) @ Washington Redskins (10-6)
TheKillerNacho: Seattle is red-hot right now. Yes, this is a road game and Seattle has had their struggles on the road this year, but they've blown their opponents out in the later quarter of the season. With Washington's defense being pretty soft due to injuries, I think the NFC East champion Redskins will fall early in these playoffs.
Seattle 29, Washington 27

Billy:
Seattle 24, Washington 28

American Football Simulator:
Seattle 22, Washington 23

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